Prediction markets: US-regulated event forecasting, explained
What prediction markets are, how US-regulated event forecasting sites price contracts, who oversees them, and how the main platforms compare on fees and access.
Start here if you are new. These explainers cover how each product works, what it costs and where it is legal, using worked examples and primary sources.
What prediction markets are, how US-regulated event forecasting sites price contracts, who oversees them, and how the main platforms compare on fees and access.
How prediction market fees are calculated, why they peak at 50¢, and what Kalshi, Polymarket US, Robinhood, FanDuel Predicts and IBKR charge at 10¢ to 90¢.
How Yes/No event contracts are priced, how to read the order book, maker vs taker, limit vs market orders and selling early, with worked numeric examples.
Who decides a prediction market's outcome, how contract rules and settlement sources work, the CFTC's role, mention markets and recent enforcement cases.
A sourced, state-by-state tracker of prediction-market legality in the US — court rulings, state lawsuits, new laws and which platforms restrict where.
Polymarket US is a CFTC-regulated exchange; polymarket.com is an offshore crypto platform restricted for US users. How they differ on rules, fees and funding.
Exchange vs house, fees vs vig, 18 vs 21, federal vs state regulation: how sports prediction markets differ from sportsbooks, with a worked cost example.
What sweepstakes casinos are, how Gold Coins and Sweeps Coins work, where they are banned, and how the major operators compare, with sourced and dated facts.
A step-by-step guide to sweepstakes casinos, from sign-up and Gold Coins to Sweeps Coin playthrough, KYC and redemption, plus the legal logic behind free entry.
Sweepstakes casino legal states for 2026: a sourced tracker of state bans, effective dates, attorney-general actions and pending bills, checked weekly.
How to get Sweeps Coins without buying anything: official mail-in amounts at Modo, High 5, Zula and Sportzino, what free coins are worth, and the catches.
What Sweeps Coins are, how they differ from Gold Coins, what 1 SC is worth, and how playthrough, expiry and redemption work, with per-brand official rules.
How sweepstakes casinos differ from state-licensed online casinos on licensing, oversight, availability, purchases vs deposits, redemptions and taxes.